Thursday, December 1, 2011

ANANDA BHASKAR's MODELS OF PSEPHOLOGY & OPINION POLLS: TOOLS FOR SURVEYS

ANANDA BHASKAR RAPOLU who learnt his writing, reporting and editing skills with vigour and deep dedication stands for attaining all the possible skills and understandings that demand to be a professional journalist. His comand over Telugu, English besides quick grasp of various latest techniques and hands on knowledge on the composing and even pagination gave him, his standard standing. His approach is pointed like that of Arjuna and his learning of Ekalavya, true in the sense of segragated society.

ANANDA BHASKAR besides being the Journalistic Executive to look after selections, inetrviews, training of all new comers where ever, he worked, he handled several extra - far reaching assignments.

ANANDA BHASKAR's prebudget and budget day sessions, which were unheard of in those days of 1980s became famous and several economic and financial experts and academics of Business Management in Universities were eager to join his sessions.


ANANDA BHASKAR has also excelled in conducting OPINION polls. His psephology techniques and tools were of his own, taken hard learning models from Gallop Polls and Prannoy Roy experiments for India Today.

ANANDA BHASKAR developed Map of the state on his own for segregating the zones of SWING, which were used to decide the locations of sample in 1980s and 1990s.

 ANANDA BHASKAR's SWING ZONES Maps are still worth to study and use. Below they are given:
ANDHRA PRADESH SWING ZONES BY ANANDA BHASKAR
Psephology of various previous polls, polling trends, response correlations based
identification done by ANANDA BHASKAR in late 1980s and conducted several
surveys following these swing zones by him for Udayam and Vaartha Telugu dailies.

DISTRICT WISE COLOUR SEGREGATION OF SWING:
01 TO 05 %: YELLOW; 06 TO 10 %: PINK; 11 TO 15 %: GREEN; 16 TO 25 %: RED;

01 to 05 %: YELLOW
KHAMMAM; KRISHNA; KURNOOL; CHITTOOR


06 to 10 %: PINK
NIZAMABAD; WARANGAL; GUNTUR; PRAKASHAM; SRIKAKULAM


16 to 25 %: RED
RANGAREDDY; KADAPA; WEST GODAVARI; EAST GODAVARI



11 to 15 %: GREEN

ADILABAD; KARIMNAGAR; MEDAK; NALGONDA; MAHABOOBNAGAR; ANANTAPUR;

ANDHRA PRADESH SWING ZONES BY ANANDA BHASKAR
Psephology of various previous polls, polling trends, response correlations based
identification done by ANANDA BHASKAR in late 1980s and conducted several
surveys following these swing zones by him for Udayam and Vaartha Telugu dailies.

DISTRICT WISE COLOUR SEGREGATION OF SWING:
01 TO 05 %: YELLOW; 06 TO 10 %: PINK; 11 TO 15 %: GREEN; 16 TO 25 %: RED;


ZONE - AREA - LOCATION
The swing assessment is basic elector response on macro level of district.
From every district, swing areas have to be taken,
based on at least three previous elections.
From these micro swing areas,
random swing locations [ polling booths] have to be taken.
These micro geographic - demographic firming up is
a must for accuracy to begin with.

Then, the age group, gender, social
and earning / occupational factors have to be taken.

General formula of age, social and earning / occupational factors
will serve the purpose.

RAPOLU ANANDA BHASKAR

Ananda Bhaskar's experiments in Telugu Journalism between 1980 and 1994 are
later became useful for the Journalists of Generation Next.

Ananda Bhaskar came out of practicing Journalism in 1994 February
to plunge into public life as whole timer of Indian National Congress.

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